SLI analytical assessment
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Evidence behind this assessment
Relevant original documents
What to monitor
Memuat struktur kelembagaan geo…
Original intelligence · Indonesia
Indonesia in the world
Strategic Latitude Intelligence examines how domestic fundamentals interact with trade, capital, energy and technological dependencies.
SLI independent researchData checked: loading…Observed data + editorial analysis
Indonesia's external position
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Strategic reading
Global relationships
Selected BPS bilateral merchandise-trade relationships, full-year 2025. These are not foreign investment flows, diplomatic alignment scores or a ranking of every partner economy.
Trade partners · selected
Sector exposure
Where Indonesia's investment opportunities meet external constraints. Click a sector to see specific drivers, monitoring questions and original data evidence.
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SLI research dossiers
Six areas of Indonesia's strategic position. Choose a theme, then open an issue to read the underlying evidence and SLI assessment.
Official security data · 2023–2024
Public Safety & Security Intelligence
Three distinct views: reported police incidents, household victimization and confidence in reporting, and village-level conflict observations. All figures are historical, published by BPS in December 2025—not a current safety rating or a forecast.
Police-reported crime · 2024
561,993
Recorded events · PolriRecorded rate · 2024
204
Per 100,000 people · PolriPopulation victimization · 2024
0.73%
Susenas population shareVictims reporting · 2024
20.28%
Susenas survey victimsWhat the evidence means for Indonesia
SLI assessment: the registered incident count fell between 2023 and 2024, while self-reported victimization increased and reporting among victims declined. Different sources are not contradictory counts; they use different measurement populations. For investors, these historical trends support questions about insurance, personnel welfare, logistics and local due diligence—not automatic project risk labels.
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National trends are not one composite measure
Police records: 584,991 recorded crimes (2023) versus 561,993 (2024).
Susenas: survey prevalence 0.45% (2023) versus 0.73% (2024); victim reporting 23.36% versus 20.28%.
Podes: villages reporting a mass-conflict event 1.85% (2021) versus 2.41% (2024).
Geography, sampling and interpretation
Polri geography ≠ province. Polda Metro Jaya includes Mabes Polri and reaches outside DKI; Polda Papua covers four administrative provinces, and Polda Papua Barat covers two. Police values must not be reassigned to individual provinces.
Susenas estimates include reporting bias and sample uncertainty; police records undercount unreported crime. Podes counts villages with at least one event, not event totals. N/A does not mean zero.
Source: BPS Statistik Kriminal 2024/2025 (released 12 December 2025). Historical statistical observations, not a live threat feed, safety rating or investment recommendation.
Digitized official statistics · 2021–2025
Indonesia's provincial economy and civic landscape
Explore selected official BPS indicators across provinces and years. Economic scale and capital formation appear separately from election administration and institutional indicators. No combined political or investment-risk score is computed.
BPS expenditure inequality · Gini Ratio
National, 7 areas & 38 provincesMarch 2026 BPS Susenas: national 0.368 · urban 0.387 · rural 0.296. Regional cards display the range and median of province-level values, not regional Gini coefficients.
Explore full Gini Ratio data, filters & export ↗ · BPS source ↗
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38 provincesLoading comparison…
Indonesia · Democracy Index (IDI)
BPS national composite, 2021–2024; not a forecast or investment risk rating.
National IDI covers both central and provincial components; it is not directly the same as the Press Freedom Index.
Read the data correctly
GRDP and PMTB use IDR billion. Current-price and 2010 constant-price figures are distinct measures. PMTB measures gross fixed capital formation, not BKPM PMA/PMDN investment realization. Growth computed from constant-price GRDP is a derived real growth rate.
PDRB 2024 figures are revised (*) and 2025 provisional (**). Four new Papua provinces lack comparable 2021–2022 entries. Registered voters (DPT) are not actual turnout; a dash is N/A, not zero.
All provincial press freedom scores are Dewan Pers index observations reproduced in BPS Statistik Politik 2025. They are not SLI's judgments of political institutions. BPS attribution and original publication links are provided for every selection.